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In a world with increasing frequency of large-scale disasters and diminishing ability to reinsure, the strategy is to cut risk and raise rates. In response to denials of large rate increases, Zurich has wholesale exited markets and underwritten customers off policies. The result is less on the books. Going forward, the lack of willingness by admitted insurers will have two major results: (1) state insurance funds of last resort will add an unsustainable number of customers and assume massive risk; and (2) surplus line suppliers will charge rates that are ten times standard rates. Then, State Insurance commissioners will surrender and allow large rate increases that customers will gladly pay, relative to state and surplus insurers. Of course, the risk is natural disaster wipes out profits or wipes out ZURVY.
6/6/2025
at $41.27. . Action - Watch to Potentially Buy; Price Entry Uncertain.Is 2Q2025, expected report on July 8, 2025, the quarter that ENPH will return parabolic stock price increase?
ENPH rose from $2 to over $300 because it had superior financial execution in a fast-growing solar market between 2019 and 2022. Macro and industry conditions reversed starting in 2023, causing shrinking sales. However, since 2023, ENPH has actually expanded margins and been successful at launching battery sales. The key questions for ENPH is when will macro and industry conditions improve and when to buy the stock?
The idea was generated by Ted Broomfield on 6/6/2025, in response to an inquiry from a client.
Will POWL continue to grow sales, margins and earnings at the rate of the recent three years propelling the tiny share count and float stock with a 19% short float ratio higher, or will the current much slower estimates prevail?
Risks include the concentration of customers in the currently risky oil & gas market, and the shrinking forward revenue growth at just 5%, while the stock price at $186 is still in the parabolic region of the chart - low 30s in 2022, high $80s in 2023, reaching $150s in 2024.
Expected report July 8, 2025.
The ides was generated by Joe Presti on June 5, 2025, based on Presti’s conversation with a technical analyst who liked POWL’s base after a 52-week high around $360.
5/19/2025
at $18.08. . Action - Watch to Potentially Buy; Expect Downside, Price Entry Uncertain.
(IR) has $4.9 bn cap and $3.9 bn debt. COLD was founded in 1931, is headquartered in Atlanta, GA and employs 13,755. POWL is a specialty REIT that rents a potential 1.4 billion cubic feet of refrigerated storage space across 238 temperature-controlled warehouses for temporary storage of perishable food items to logistics and food companies. Key statistics include $2.6 bn revenue, -$0.42 EPS, 18.4% GPM, with Negative P/E Ratio. Analysis of past financial is that COLD has stagnating annual sales, mostly expanding gross margins and volatile recurring EPS since 2021.
The COLD Idea was generated on 5/19/2025 through a new low AI stock screen by Ted Broomfield.
The thesis is that the chart shows further declines, but COLD is leader in food storage, a business that is not going to be eliminated or disintermediated by AI; eventually a successful temperature controlled storage company will generate profit. The question is, will it be COLD and at what price?
Expected report August 7, 2025.
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